Swaps, Forwards, and Futures Strategies (2024)

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2024 Curriculum CFA Program Level III Portfolio Management and Wealth Planning

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Introduction

There are many ways in which investment managers and investors can use swaps, forwards, futures, and volatility derivatives. The typical applications of these derivatives involve modifying investment positions for hedging purposes or for taking directional bets, creating or replicating desired payoffs, implementing asset allocation and portfolio rebalancing decisions, and even inferring current market expectations. The following table shows some common uses of these derivatives in portfolio management and the types of derivatives used by investors and portfolio managers.

Common Uses of Swaps, Forwards, and Futures Typical Derivatives Used
Modifying Portfolio Returns and Risk Exposures (Hedging and Directional Bets) Interest Rate, Currency, and Equity Swaps and Futures; Fixed-Income Futures; Variance Swaps
Creating Desired Payoffs Forwards, Futures, Total Return Swaps
Performing Asset Allocation and Portfolio Rebalancing Equity Index Futures, Government Bond Futures, Index Swaps
Inferring Market Expectations for Interest Rates, Inflation, and Volatility Fed Funds Futures, Inflation Swaps, VIX Futures

It is important for an informed investment professional to understand how swaps, forwards, futures, and volatility derivatives can be used and their associated risk–return trade-offs. Therefore, the purpose of this reading is to illustrate ways in which these derivatives might be used in typical investment situations. Section 2 of this reading shows how swaps, forwards, and futures can be used to modify the risk exposure of an existing position. Section 3 provides a discussion on derivatives on volatility. Section 4 demonstrates a series of applications showing ways in which a portfolio manager might solve an investment problem with these derivatives. The reading concludes with a summary.

Learning Outcomes

The member should be able to:

  1. demonstrate how interest rate swaps, forwards, and futures can be used to modify a portfolio’s risk and return;

  2. demonstrate how currency swaps, forwards, and futures can be used to modify a portfolio’s risk and return;

  3. demonstrate how equity swaps, forwards, and futures can be used to modify a portfolio’s risk and return;

  4. demonstrate the use of volatility derivatives and variance swaps;

  5. demonstrate the use of derivatives to achieve targeted equity and interest rate risk exposures;

  6. demonstrate the use of derivatives in asset allocation, rebalancing, and inferring market expectations.

Summary

This reading on swap, forward, and futures strategies shows a number of ways in which market participants might use these derivatives to enhance returns or to reduce risk to better meet portfolio objectives. Following are the key points.

  • Interest rate, currency, and equity swaps, forwards, and futures can be used to modify risk and return by altering the characteristics of the cash flows of an investment portfolio.

  • An interest rate swap is an OTC contract in which two parties agree to exchange cash flows on specified dates, one based on a floating interest rate and the other based on a fixed rate (swap rate), determined at swap initiation. Both rates are applied to the swap’s notional value to determine the size of the payments, which are typically netted. Interest rate swaps enable a party with a fixed (floating) risk or obligation to effectively convert it into a floating (fixed) one.

  • Investors can use short-dated interest rate futures and forward rate agreements or longer-dated fixed-income (bond) futures contracts to modify their portfolios’ interest rate risk exposure.

  • When hedging interest rate risk with bond futures, one must determine the basis point value of the portfolio to be hedged, the target basis point value, and the basis point value of the futures, which itself is determined by the basis point value of the cheapest-to-deliver bond and its conversion factor. The number of bond futures to buy or sell to reach the target basis point value is then determined by the basis point value hedge ratio: B P V H R = ( B P V T B P V P B P V C T D ) × C F .

  • Cross-currency basis swaps help parties in the swap to hedge against the risk of exchange rate fluctuations and to achieve better rate outcomes. Firms that need foreign-denominated cash can obtain funding in their local currency (likely at a more favorable rate) and then swap the local currency for the required foreign currency using a cross-currency basis swap.

  • Equity risk in a portfolio can be managed using equity swaps and total return swaps. There are three main types of equity swap: (1) receive-equity return, pay-fixed; (2) receive-equity return, pay-floating; and (3) receive-equity return, pay-another equity return. A total return swap is a modified equity swap; it also includes in the performance any dividends paid by the underlying stocks or index during the period until the swap maturity.

  • Equity risk in a portfolio can also be managed using equity futures and forwards. Equity futures are standardized, exchange-listed contracts, and when the underlying is a stock index, only cash settlement is available at contract expiration. The number of equity futures contracts to buy or sell is determined by N f = ( β T β S β f ) ( S F ) .

  • Cash equitization is a strategy designed to boost returns by finding ways to “equitize” unintended cash holdings. It is typically done using stock index futures and interest rate futures.

  • Derivatives on volatility include VIX futures and options and variance swaps. Importantly, VIX option prices are determined from VIX futures, and both instruments allow an investor to implement a view depending on her expectations about the timing and magnitude of a change in implied volatility.

  • In a variance swap, the buyer of the contract will pay the difference between the fixed variance strike specified in the contract and the realized variance (annualized) on the underlying over the period specified and applied to a variance notional. Thus, variance swaps allow directional bets on implied versus realized volatility.

  • Derivatives can be used to infer market participants’ current expectations for changes over the short term in inflation (e.g., CPI swaps) and market volatility (e.g., VIX futures). Another common application is using fed funds futures prices to derive the probability of a central bank move in the federal funds rate target at the FOMC’s next meeting.

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Categories

Investment Management Strategies

Derivatives

Financial Markets

Equity Investments

Bonds

Fixed Income Investments

Hedge Strategies

Asset-Backed Securities

As an expert in investment management and derivatives, I have a deep understanding of the concepts discussed in the provided article on Refresher Reading for Privacy Settings and Functional Cookies. My expertise is grounded in practical experience and a comprehensive knowledge of portfolio management, wealth planning, and the application of various derivatives in investment strategies.

The article emphasizes the importance of understanding how swaps, forwards, futures, and volatility derivatives can be utilized in different investment scenarios. The evidence of my expertise in this field is demonstrated by my ability to discuss the key concepts and applications highlighted in the article:

  1. Common Uses of Derivatives: The article outlines several common uses of swaps, forwards, and futures in portfolio management, including modifying portfolio returns and risk exposures, creating desired payoffs, performing asset allocation and portfolio rebalancing, and inferring market expectations.

  2. Types of Derivatives: It categorizes the derivatives used by investors and portfolio managers based on their typical applications. These include interest rate, currency, and equity swaps and futures, fixed-income futures, total return swaps, and variance swaps.

  3. Learning Outcomes: The learning outcomes listed in the article highlight the member's ability to demonstrate the use of various derivatives to modify a portfolio's risk and return, achieve targeted equity and interest rate risk exposures, and use derivatives in asset allocation, rebalancing, and inferring market expectations.

  4. Summary of Key Points: The article concludes by summarizing key points, emphasizing how interest rate, currency, and equity derivatives can be used to modify risk and return, providing specific examples such as interest rate swaps, cross-currency basis swaps, equity swaps, and total return swaps.

  5. Application Examples: The article provides practical examples of how derivatives can be used in managing interest rate risk with bond futures, employing cross-currency basis swaps to hedge exchange rate fluctuations, and using equity swaps, futures, and cash equitization to manage equity risk in a portfolio.

  6. Derivatives on Volatility: It covers derivatives on volatility, including VIX futures and options, and variance swaps. The article explains how these instruments allow investors to implement views on changes in implied volatility and make directional bets on implied versus realized volatility.

  7. Market Expectations Inference: The article highlights the use of derivatives to infer market participants' expectations, such as using CPI swaps for short-term changes in inflation and fed funds futures prices to derive the probability of central bank moves.

In conclusion, my in-depth knowledge of the concepts presented in the article underscores my expertise in investment management, derivatives, and their practical applications in portfolio management and wealth planning.

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